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I'm going against Lee here where I was for him in Game 1 on a game. It's really ironic that the Rockies hit LHP at home, but struggle big time on the road. That was a big reason why I had the Phillies in Game #1, but I felt all along this game was going back to Philli. It was a close game yesterday, and today will likely be the same, but in the end I feel this game goes to the Rockies and the under and I'll continue with the pitching match up below:
Cliff Lee has a 4.09 ERA on the road this year since joining the National League mostly in his last 4 starts where he gave up 18 ER in just 20 IP to the Brewers, Braves, Nationals, and Astros. Not exactly big time hitting clubs, but he struggled on the road down the stretch and I think he might have a bit more trouble. Remember the Rockies saw him for 9 full innings and now they have a better idea and approach on how to hit him today at home. Like I mentioned the Rockies seem to hit LHP at home they are 16-5 in their last 21 home games vs. LH starter. They hit .296 (+.14 compared to LHP) and are scoring 6.60 runs per 9 (+.80 compared to LHP).
Rockies will come back with Jimenez who struggled in game 1 against the Phillies with 9 hits in 5 IP and 5 ER. Jimenez cruised through 4IP allowing 0 ER and then he allowed 2 ER through 5 complete innings. The trouble came in the 6th inning before he completed an out he gave up a single to Utley double to Howard and triple to Werth before handing it over to relief who gave up the run to Werth, and then shut the Phillies down the rest of the day. The bullpen has been solid for the Rockies which was really their weakness going in and I can't see Jimenez not pitching better in this game. He's got a 3.34 ERA at home this year. He pitches much better at night with a 3.19 ERA which he will be pitching later than Game 1's early game. Rockies are 11-1 in their last 12 Game 4's and 38-15 in their last 53 home games as a favorite. Rockies 9-0 in Jimenez's last 8 starts when team score 5 runs or more in previous game. Meaning he is their shut down guy and their ace! I like him to come up big in this spot here tonight against the Phillies who don't hit righties just quite as well as lefties.
Rockies are under 9-1 in their last 10 home games, and 11-1-1 their last 13 when opponents scored 5 runs or more in last game with Jimenez on the mound. They are also under 26-10 when Jimenez is off 4 days rest. Phillies are under 5-0 with Lee on the mound after allowing 5 runs or more in a game. Lee has also been the Phillies ace and with a total set at 8.5 I can't help it. Ron Kulpa will be behind the plate and he is 13-8 on the under during the regular season.
